PJB-2023-436
Muhammad Hanif
Abstract
Enable Ginger
Climate change, is an undisputable global reality, is directly and indirectly affecting human lives. Agricultural crops, particularly sugarcane cultivation, are highly vulnerable to changes in climatic conditions. This study is designed/conducted to investigate the impact of climatic change on sugarcane yield and return to growers in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa. For this purposes data were collected from 180 sugarcane growers, randomly selected from 6 districts located in 4 different climatic zones. Secondary data was taken from the meteorological department for the year 2022, including temperature and rainfall records. Cross-sectional Ricardian regression analysis was conducted to analyze the relationship between climate factors and per acre net return to sugarcane growers. Results show that District-wise, Mardan had the highest net return (Rs. 132,174), followed by Malakand (Rs. 122,462), Peshawar (Rs. 114,395), Swabi (Rs. 106,637), D.I Khan (Rs. 101,750), and Haripur (Rs. 89,945). Findings from regression analysis revealed that sugarcane yield and net return is significantly affected by Labour, Urea, Irrigation, and DAP/Nitropos. Additionally, growers selling sugarcane in the form of brown sugar (GUR) had higher net returns compared to those selling sugarcane to mills or for livestock consumption (as a folder). Furthermore, for Raton crop was significantly higher than fresh cultivated crops. Results from climatic factors revealed non-linear relationships between temperature and rainfall with yield and net return per acre. The net-return response curve to temperature exhibited a U-shape, with an estimated critical level of 22°C for net return maximization. As KP is sub-tropical climatic zone where the temperature is normally lower than tropical zones, the native habitat for sugarcane, furthermore temperature due to climatic change / global warming could result in an increase in sugar cane yield to climate change. The optimal level of rainfall for maximum net return was found to be 70 mm, with an inverted U-shape relationship. Based on the study, it is recommended that the government should educate sugarcane growers and provide training to improve their skills and adopt new technologies. Moreover, government agencies and agricultural research institutions should offer support to sugarcane growers.
Cannot connect to Ginger Check your internet connection
or reload the browserDisable in this text fieldRephraseRephrase current sentenceLog in to edit with Ginger×
To Cite this article:
Download
